8:15PM: This is a hold your nose bet. Bengals are 6-3 on the over and the Ravens are 8-1 on the over. The last time these 2 teams played 1 month ago, the final score was 41-38 in OT. Everything is pointing to the over including 89% of the money on the over, which is why I like the under. Typically, when 2 divisional teams play a 2nd time in the year the opposite happens with the over/under.
7:30PM: Everyone knows what happened in the summer during the Olympics. Jayson tatum barely played and Steve Kerr was the head coach. Today they face off against each other. It makes sense that the Celtics and Tatum would want to win this game. Celtics are 3-0 ATS at home while the Warriors are 4-0 ATS on the road so far this season. Warriors are in the middle of a 5 game east coast trip while the Celtics are returning home from a 4 game road trip. I’ll take the Celtics in a sort of revenge game.
8:15PM: Buccaneers are playing their 2nd game without star receivers Mike Evans and Chris Godwin. Last week they were still able to move the ball up and down the field but that was against the Falcons and not this Chiefs defense. Chiefs will be able to score, averaging almost 25 ppg, but it’s still not the same dominant Chiefs offense we are used to in the past. Also, 88% of the money is on the over but the number has come down from an opening number of 47 to 45.5.
1:00PM: Baltimore is highly touted as one of the best teams in the AFC, however they are 5-3. I don’t see them going to 5-4 here especially at home. Their losses are by an inch to the Chiefs, comeback loss to the Raiders and the Browns last week on a last minute touchdown drive. The Broncos are also 5-3 but really haven’t beaten anyone. Their best win is against the Bucs on the road other than that it’s all teams with losing records. Yes they do have a great defense but I think Baltimore comes out and shows their dominant offense today.
7:30PM: Iowa has won 2 of the last 3 games, both at home and in both games scoring 40 points. Wisconsin is coming off a loss against Penn State where they were leading at halftime. Wisconsin had a night and spent a ton of energy in that game to try and beat a top 5 team. Now they have to bring that same energy to a night game on the road. I don’t think they can do that, especially after falling apart in the 2nd half last week. It’s probably going to be close in the first half and then Iowa defense will be too much for the Badgers.
7:30PM: Atlanta is winless ATS this year. Sacramento comes in with a new core signing Derozan in the offseason. After a rocky start to their year, they have won the last 2 games. More money is coming in on the home team but the spread keeps moving in the Kings direction.
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Disclaimer: All picks are on my own, these are not guaranteed winners as you can lose. Bet responsibly.
