8:15PM: Sometimes the obvious pick is the easy pick. Bengals can score and give up points. Cowboys also give up points at home, see last week giving up 20 points to a Drew Lock led Giants team. I really have no feel for this game but you really can’t take the under in this game with 2 bad defenses.
1:00PM: Another NFL scheduling quirk, 2 division teams playing twice in 3 weeks. Steelers lost in that snowy game 2 weeks ago in Cleveland, thought they had a chance to win but ultimately ended up losing. Cleveland has not swept the Steelers since the 80s and have not won in Pittsburgh since Tim Couch was the quarterback and there has been a lot of quarterbacks since then in Cleveland. This is also a chance to go up 2 games on the Ravens in the division for the Steelers. This might also be the last winnable game for the Steelers. They have a brutal schedule down the stretch finishing with Eagles, Ravens, Chiefs, Bengals. They need to win this game to pad their lead in the division and keep up with the Bills and Chiefs for a top spot.
4:00PM: Texas is coming off a dominant performance on defense against Texas A&M, not allowing an offensive touchdown. Georgia is coming off an in state rivalry game where it went to 8 OT where they were 17 point favorites entering the game. I think Texas has made adjustments both on defense and on offense since the last time the played Georgia and they will be ready for them today. Losing the first time at home and basically being a home game for Georgia, with this game being only a couple hours from Georgia’s campus, and still being favorites tells me a lot about this Texas team.
8:00PM: This is one of the two games this weekend that is a true win and get in game. UNLV has no business to be in the CFP meanwhile Boise St does. They have been talked about all year, have basically run through their schedule and played tough against Oregon at Oregon. They even have a Heisman trophy candidate on their team. This is a dream season for Boise even with hosting the Mountain West Championship on their home blue turf. And here comes UNLV, who Boise beat earlier in the season. Jeanty had his 2nd worst game of the year against UNLV (which is great game by any other standards) 128 yards with 1 touchdown on 33 carries. This is UNLV’s Super Bowl, might as well come out swinging.
8:15PM: Packers offense has been clicking the last 2 games, scoring over 30 points in both games. And the Lions average the most points per game. The first game between these 2 teams was 24-14 and went under by 10 points. The trend that I follow is go opposite of the first game between divisional opponents. Teams look to make adjustments from the first game to the 2nd. They played just over a month ago and the Lions have put even more defensive players on IR since that game. And this game is indoors, expect the Packers to open up the playbook to keep up with the Lions at home.
9:15PM: Auburn is coming off a Maui Invitational tournament win. They had to go through a gauntlet in Iowa State, UNC, and Memphis. Duke has struggled against ranked opponents this year going 1-2 so far. Their one win was on the road and two losses were at a neutral site. I do think they have gained experience and maturity being a young team since the beginning of the year. This game is in Cameron Indoor but if this was a neutral site game this would probably be a pick em. I do think this is a tough spot Auburn coming off the Maui tournament and now going on the road to face a top ten team but I think they can handle it.
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Disclaimer: All picks are on my own, these are not guaranteed winners as you can lose. Bet responsibly.
